Current Poll of Polls Average
Weighted average of last 10 polls · May 2026Last 10 Polls
Individual polls used in the current average| Pollster | Fieldwork | Lab | Con | Reform | LD | Grn | SNP | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 1-7 May 2026 | 17 | 20 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 2,089 |
| Ipsos | 27 Apr-3 May 2026 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 1,103 |
| Redfield & Wilton | 4 May 2026 | 18 | 19 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 1,500 |
| Survation | 29 Apr-1 May 2026 | 18 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 1,011 |
| Deltapoll | 25-28 Apr 2026 | 17 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 1,502 |
| YouGov | 24-30 Apr 2026 | 18 | 19 | 28 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 2,107 |
| More in Common | 22-24 Apr 2026 | 18 | 20 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 1,520 |
| Redfield & Wilton | 20 Apr 2026 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 1,500 |
| Ipsos | 14-18 Apr 2026 | 18 | 19 | 28 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 1,001 |
| YouGov | 10-16 Apr 2026 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 2,044 |
| Weighted Average | May 2026 | 18 | 19 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 3 | ~16k |
How the Poll of Polls is Calculated
Methodology & weighting explainedWhich Polls Are Included?
We include only polls from pollsters registered with the British Polling Council (BPC) who publish full tables and fieldwork dates. This excludes advocacy polls, push polls, and online straw polls without proper sampling procedures.
Current included pollsters: YouGov, Ipsos, Survation, Redfield & Wilton, Deltapoll, More in Common, Techne, BMG Research.
Sample Size Weighting
Each poll is weighted by its sample size, up to a cap of 2,500 respondents. A YouGov poll of 2,089 respondents carries more weight than an Ipsos poll of 1,003, but not proportionally more.
Sample size accounts for up to 40% of total poll weighting.
Recency Decay
Polls more than 21 days old carry 70% of their face-weight. Polls more than 35 days old carry 40%. Polls older than 50 days are excluded from the rolling average. This means the average reflects recent trends more strongly than older data.
Recency accounts for approximately 35% of total weighting.
Pollster Contribution Cap
Each pollster is capped at a maximum contribution of 30% of the total weight in any given average. If YouGov publishes three polls in a week, they collectively count as 30%. This prevents any single pollster's methodology from dominating the output.
No house-effect adjustment is applied — we average as-published figures.
GE2024 Benchmarks vs Current Average
| Party | GE2024 Result | May 2026 Poll Avg | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | 33% | 18% | -15 |
| Conservative | 24% | 19% | -5 |
| Reform UK | 14% | 28% | +14 |
| Lib Dems | 12% | 13% | +1 |
| Green | 7% | 15% | +8 |
| SNP | 2% | 3% | +1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a poll of polls?
A poll of polls is a weighted average of multiple individual polls, designed to reduce the noise of any single survey and give a more reliable estimate of public opinion. Different polls are weighted by sample size, recency, and pollster contribution caps.
Which party is leading the UK poll of polls in 2026?
As of May 2026, Reform UK leads the UK poll of polls average at 28%, ahead of the Conservatives at 19% and Labour at 18%. The Greens are at 15% and the Liberal Democrats at 13%.
How is the poll of polls calculated?
Our poll of polls uses a weighted rolling average of the 10 most recent polls from BPC-registered pollsters. Polls are weighted by sample size (capped at 2,500) and by recency, with a decay applied to polls older than 21 days. Each pollster is capped at a 30% contribution to prevent any single house dominating.