UK Polling News
Analysis, breakdowns and commentary on the latest UK polling — updated weekly. 80 articles.
Featured Analysis
2029 UK Election Prediction: Who Will Win? Poll-of-Polls Forecast
Who will win the 2029 UK general election? Our poll-of-polls forecast based on May 2026 data: Reform 28%, Conservatives 19%, Labour 18%, Greens 15%, Lib Dems 13%. Full seat projection analysis.
Is Kemi Badenoch the Right Choice? Conservative Leadership Polls
Internal Conservative and public polling on Kemi Badenoch as Tory leader. Net approval -15%, party satisfaction mixed. Is she the right person to take on Reform and Labour?
All Articles
What Voters Really Think of the BBC — The Polling Data
Full polling analysis: 41% say BBC is left-leaning, 78% of Reform voters agree. Labour voters think it leans right. BBC abolition polling and trust data by party and age.
Carla Denyer and the Green Surge: Who Are the New 15% Green Voters?
Green co-leader Carla Denyer has helped drive the party to 15% in national polls. Analysis of who switched to the Greens, the policy drivers, and what 15% means for 2029.
Tories at 19%: Badenoch's First Year and What the Polls Show
The Conservatives are polling at 19% under Kemi Badenoch. We examine her first year as leader, what the data shows about the Tory base, and whether recovery is possible.
Cost of Living Polls 2026: How Economic Anxiety Shapes Party Support
Cost of living polling 2026: 58% say they are worse off under Labour. How economic anxiety drives Reform UK growth, suppresses Labour numbers, and shapes the 2029 election battleground.
Ed Davey Approval Rating: Best-Rated Leader at +5%
Ed Davey holds a net approval rating of +5%, making him the only UK party leader in positive territory. How Lib Dem strategy turned local roots into national polling gains.
Will Farage Stand in Clacton Again in 2029? Constituency Polling
Nigel Farage won Clacton in 2024 with a 9,500 majority. Will he stand again in 2029? Constituency polling and analysis of his position as Reform UK leader versus MP.
-20% vs +5%: Why Ed Davey Leads the Approval Charts
Nigel Farage leads the polls but has a negative approval rating. Ed Davey has a positive approval rating but leads a party polling at 13%. We unpack the approval paradox in British politics.
Electoral Reform Polling: 60% Now Back PR — Does It Matter?
Polling shows 60% of British voters now support proportional representation. With five parties each polling above 10%, the debate has never been more relevant. Full data.
Green Party Breakthrough 2026: From 7% to 15% Explained
The Green Party has risen from 7% at GE2024 to 15% in May 2026 polls. We analyse the data behind the surge: which voters switched, which seats are in play, and whether it can last.
Green Party Co-Leaders: Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay in Polls
Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay lead the Green Party at 15% in national polls. How their co-leadership model works, what polling shows, and whether the Greens can convert votes into seats.
Greens at 15% But FPTP Limits: Projecting 12-25 Seats in 2029
The Green Party polls at 15% but first-past-the-post means they could win just 12-25 seats in 2029. Analysis of their target constituency strategy and where the votes are concentrated.
Green Party at 15%: We Profiled the Switchers - They're Not Who You'd Expect
The Green Party is polling at 15% in Britain. Who are the switchers driving that number? The answer challenges common assumptions about the green vote.
Green Party at 15%: Who Is Switching and Why
The Green Party is polling at 15% in May 2026 -- an historic high. We examine who is switching to the Greens, from which parties, and whether it can be sustained.
Starmer Net Approval at -35%: The Numbers Behind the Decline
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular prime minister in modern polling history at this stage of a Parliament. We trace the trajectory, the policies, and what the data means.
Which Kemi Badenoch Policies Actually Have Public Support?
From trade unions to net zero, we map Kemi Badenoch's policy platform against polling data to find where voters agree � and where they don't.
Squeezed from Left and Right: Labour's Two-Front Polling Problem
Labour is losing voters to Reform on its right and to the Greens on its left. At 18% in the polls, the party faces a two-front war. We examine the data, the dilemma, and the possible escape routes.
Labour Manifesto Delivery in 2026: Which Pledges Have Been Kept?
Two years into the Labour government, we track which 2024 manifesto promises have been delivered, which are delayed, and what voters make of Labour's record so far.
Labour at 18%: Why Starmer's Party Is in Third Place
Labour has fallen to 18% in the latest polling -- behind Reform UK at 28% and Conservatives at 19%. A data-driven breakdown of how the party lost its lead.
Labour Red Wall Collapse: Reform Now Leads in Midlands and North
Polling shows Reform UK leading Labour in dozens of Red Wall seats across the Midlands and North. Analysis of which constituencies are most at risk and what drives voter defection.
One Year of Starmer: What the Polls Say About Year Two
Keir Starmer has completed his first year in Downing Street. The polling verdict is mixed: personal ratings improved but Labour trails at 18%. What does the data say about year two?
Labour in Third Place: Historic Low Not Seen Since the 1980s
Labour polling at 18% and trailing both Reform UK and the Conservatives marks a historic low. When was Labour last in third place in UK polls, and what does it mean?
Lib Dem Targets: The 80 Tory Seats They Want to Take
The Liberal Democrats are targeting up to 80 Conservative-held seats in their Blue Wall strategy. We examine the polling, the targets, and how realistic the ambition is.
Lib Dems Blue Wall 2026: Targeting 80 Conservative Seats
The Liberal Democrats are polling at 13% and targeting up to 80 Conservative-held seats in the Blue Wall. Full data analysis of which seats are in play and what the polls say.
The Davey Bounce: How Ed Davey Differs From Swinson and Farron
Ed Davey's +5% approval rating is the best by a Lib Dem leader since Charles Kennedy. Analysis of how his approach differs from Jo Swinson and Tim Farron and whether it can last.
Lib Dems at 13%: Squeezed by Green Surge, Still Ahead of Labour in South West
Liberal Democrats hold 13% nationally in May 2026 polls, squeezed between Green growth and Labour recovery. But in the South West they remain competitive. Full data analysis.
Lib Dem Revival: From 11% in 2019 to 13% in 2026 — Ed Davey's Comeback
The Liberal Democrat comeback under Ed Davey: from 11% at the 2019 election to 72 MPs in 2024 and 13% in national polls by 2026. What the approval ratings say.
MRP Poll 2026: Labour Projected 290-320 Seats — Reform Could Win 80
The latest MRP seat projection models show Labour on 290-320 seats and Reform potentially winning 60-90 despite 26% vote share. We explain the methodology and scenarios.
NHS Crisis Polling: 78% Say Health Service is Struggling — Labour Blamed
With 7.2m on NHS waiting lists and public satisfaction at a 40-year low, polling shows Labour is losing its historic advantage on health. Full data breakdown.
Farage Approval Rating 2026: -20% Nationally, +78% Among Reform Voters
Nigel Farage approval rating 2026: net -20% nationally but +78% among Reform UK voters. The most polarising politician in Britain. Full polling data and demographic breakdown.
Northern Ireland Polls 2026: Sinn Fein Leads, Alliance Surges, DUP Declines
Northern Ireland polling 2026: Sinn Fein leads at 29%, Alliance surges to 18%, DUP falls to 18%. Full analysis of NI poll trends, demographic shifts, and what it means for Stormont.
How UK General Elections Work: Voting, Counting, Result Night
A complete guide to how UK general elections work: who can vote, how to register, how counting works, what happens on results night, and how a government is formed.
Proportional Representation: 60% Want PR — Why Won't Labour Deliver It?
Six in ten British voters support proportional representation. Labour has the majority to legislate it. We examine the polling, the arguments, and why the party keeps saying no.
Rachel Reeves Approval Rating at -28%: Economic Trust Collapse
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has a net approval of -28% as of May 2026. We examine the polling data behind the economic trust collapse, Budget fallout, and what it means for Labour.
Could Reform UK Form a Government in 2029? The Seat Maths
Reform UK is polling at 28% but FPTP could still deny them government. We crunch the seat projections, coalition scenarios, and what it would actually take for Farage to enter Downing Street.
Who Voted Reform UK in 2024? Age, Class, and Region Data
A detailed breakdown of who actually voted Reform UK in the 2024 general election: the age profile, class composition, regional distribution, and prior voting history.
Reform UK Takes 12 Councils in May 2026 Local Elections
Reform UK won control of 12 councils and over 600 seats in the May 2026 local elections, cementing its position as a governing party at local level ahead of the 2029 general election.
Reform UK Now Has 200+ Councillors After May 2026 Local Elections
After the May 2026 local elections, Reform UK has over 200 councillors across England, making it a genuine force in local government for the first time. What happened?
Who Funds Reform UK — and What Voters Think About It
Reform UK's major donors, its funding model compared to Labour and the Conservatives, and polling on whether voters care about party finance transparency.
Reform UK Wins 12 Councils: What It Means for 2029
Reform UK now controls 12 local councils after the May 2026 local elections. We analyse what this means for the party organisation, its 2029 prospects, and whether Reform can govern.
Local Elections 2026: Reform UK's Big Night — What the Council Gains Mean
Reform UK made sweeping gains in the May 2026 local elections, winning council control for the first time. We analyse results and what they signal for 2029.
Why Reform Is Strongest in the North: The Economic Data Behind the Polls
Reform UK polls highest in Northern England. We examine the economic data behind the geographic pattern: deindustrialisation, wage stagnation, public service decline, and why northern towns moved to Farage.
Do Voters Actually Support Reform UK Policies? The Data
Reform UK polls at 28% but do voters actually back its specific policies? Analysis of polling on Reform's immigration, economic, and public service positions reveals a complex picture.
Reform UK at 26%: How Farage Built a Polling Lead in Two Years
From 14% at GE2024 to joint-first in national polls: a data-driven look at Reform UK's rise, the voters who switched, and whether FPTP can convert it.
Holyrood 2026 Election Polling: SNP Minority, Labour Surge in Scotland
Scotland's 2026 Holyrood election polling shows SNP heading for a minority government as Labour surges to second. Full analysis of Scottish voting intention, independence polling, and seat projections.
Scottish Independence Polling Hits 50/50 Again
New polling shows Scottish independence support tied at 50/50. We examine the drivers, the generational split, and what the numbers mean for the SNP and Labour.
Scottish Independence Polling: The 50/50 Moment — What Changed?
Scottish independence polling has reached a statistical tie at approximately 50/50. We examine what shifted opinion, what the polling shows, and what a second referendum would require.
Can the SNP Survive? From 48% to 31% in Scotland — the Polling Story
The SNP has fallen from 48% in 2019 to around 31% in Scottish polling by 2026. What happened, who is taking their votes, and can the party survive as a major force?
Scottish Independence 2026: Polls Show Dead Heat at 50/50
Scottish independence polling in 2026 shows Yes and No locked at roughly 50/50. We examine SNP's position, Labour's Scottish revival, and indyref2 prospects.
SNP Down to 3% GB-Wide But Holds 30%+ in Scotland: The Data
SNP polling 2026: 3% GB-wide voting intention but 30-32% in Scottish-only polls. How the party is rebuilding under John Swinney after its worst Westminster result since 2010.
Starmer at -35%: Why Labour's PM is the Most Unpopular Leader in the Race
Keir Starmer's net approval has fallen to -35% — worse than Badenoch at -15% and Farage at -20%. We trace the trajectory and the policy decisions behind it.
Is Labour's Internal Polling Better Than Public Surveys?
Political parties run their own private polling. We examine what Labour's internal research likely shows, how it differs from published polls, and why the gap matters for strategy.
NHS Satisfaction at 24%: Starmer's Biggest Political Liability
NHS satisfaction has fallen to 24% in 2026, the lowest since records began. How the health service has become Labour's most damaging liability and what polling says about voter attitudes.
Can the Conservative Party Survive? 19% and the Threat of Permanent Decline
The Conservative Party is polling at 19% under Kemi Badenoch. Is this a temporary trough or the beginning of permanent decline? We examine the history, the data, and the scenarios.
1 in 3 2019 Tory Voters Now Backing Reform UK
New polling data shows roughly one third of voters who backed the Conservatives in 2019 are now supporting Reform UK. Analysis of the Tory right vote collapse and what it means for Badenoch.
When Is the Next UK Election? Everything You Need to Know About 2029
The next UK general election is expected in 2029. We explain the rules, the likely date, what the polls currently show, and what needs to happen between now and election day.
UK 2029 Hung Parliament: MRP Models Show It Is the Most Likely Outcome
With five parties polling between 13% and 28%, MRP projections show a hung parliament is now the most likely outcome of the 2029 general election. Scenario analysis and seat projections.
Reform UK Won 3 By-Elections in 2025 — What It Means for 2029
Reform UK's three by-election victories in 2025 changed the political landscape. We examine which seats they won, the margins, and what it means for the 2029 general election.
The New Class Politics: Reform Wins Working Class, Greens Win Graduates
The traditional left-right class divide in British politics has inverted. Reform UK leads among working-class voters while the Greens top graduate polling.
UK Climate Polls 2026: 61% Back Net Zero, Reform Voters Strongly Oppose
UK climate polling 2026: 61% of voters support net zero but Reform voters oppose it by 2:1. Full breakdown of climate opinion by party, age, and region, and what it means politically.
UK Economy Polls 2026: 68% Say Economy Getting Worse
A comprehensive look at UK economic polling in 2026: 68% say the economy is getting worse, trust in Reeves has collapsed, and Reform UK is the primary beneficiary. Full data analysis.
Spring Statement 2026: Public Approval and Economic Trust Impact
How did the Spring Statement 2026 affect Labour approval and economic trust polling? Public response to Rachel Reeves budget update, OBR forecasts, and what polls show.
Housing Affordability Polling 2026: 72% Say Crisis Getting Worse
UK housing crisis polling 2026: 72% of voters say affordability is getting worse. How housing shapes party support, regional breakdown, and what the polls say about political solutions.
UK Immigration Polls 2026: 728k Net Migration and Voter Opinion
728,000 net migration in 2025 and what UK voters actually think: polling breakdown by party, demographic, and policy preference. The data behind the most salient political issue in Britain.
Immigration Polling 2026: 71% Want Numbers Reduced — Reform Leads by 16 Points
With net migration at 728,000 and 71% wanting numbers cut, immigration has become the defining issue of 2026. Reform UK leads on trust by 16 points. Full data.
Local Elections 2026: Reform Gains, Labour Losses — The Full Data
The May 2026 English local elections delivered major Reform UK gains, heavy Labour losses, and confirmed the polling shift. We break down the results by council and region.
Working Class Votes Reform, Graduates Vote Green: UK's New Class Politics
The educational and class realignment reshaping UK politics: non-graduates vote Reform, degree-holders vote Green. What the polling cross-tabs show about the new British electorate.
UK Election 2029 Forecast: What Current Polls Predict
Best election forecast for 2029 based on current UK polls. Reform 28%, Con 19%, Labour 18% translates into seats via MRP models. Who could form a government?
UK Polling Accuracy at GE2024: How Well Did Pollsters Perform?
A data-driven verdict on how accurately UK pollsters predicted the July 2024 general election result. Accuracy table comparing YouGov, Ipsos, Survation and more.
UK Polling Error History: 2015, 2017, 2019 — When Polls Got It Wrong
A forensic look at the three UK elections where polling failed: 2015's uniform miss, 2017's late surge, and 2019's systematic Labour overcount. What we learned and what still worries experts.
UK Polling House Effects: Why YouGov and Techne Sometimes Differ by 4 Points
Why do YouGov and Techne sometimes show different party leads? An explainer on house effects in UK polling, methodology differences, and how to read poll aggregates correctly.
UK Polling Methodology in 2026: How Online Polls Work
Panel recruitment, demographic weighting, and likelihood-to-vote filters: a clear guide to how British polling firms build their surveys and where errors creep in.
After 2024's Polling Errors: What UK Pollsters Changed
UK pollsters overestimated Conservative support and underestimated Reform in 2024. We examine what went wrong, the methodological reforms since, and how to read polls more accurately today.
Who Are the 8 Million UK Swing Voters Deciding the 2029 Election?
Analysis of the 8 million swing voters who will decide the 2029 general election: their demographics, geography, priorities, and which parties are best positioned to win them.
UK Youth Vote 2026: Greens 28%, Reform 8% — The Generational Divide
Among 18-24 year olds in Britain, the Greens lead on 28% and Reform trails on 8%. We examine the widening generational gap in UK party support and what it means.
Welsh Labour Polling 2026: Under Pressure as Reform Rises in Wales
Welsh Labour is facing its toughest polling in decades as Reform UK rises in Wales and the Senedd government faces voter dissatisfaction. Full analysis of Wales polling 2026.
YouGov May 2026 Poll: Labour 27%, Reform 26%, Tories 23%
Full breakdown of the YouGov May 2026 voting intention poll: fieldwork dates, sample size of 1,847, methodology, and key changes vs April 2026.
YouGov Weekly Poll May 2026: Methodology, Sample Size, and Latest Numbers
YouGov weekly poll May 2026: Reform UK 28%, Labour 18%, Conservatives 19%, Greens 15%, Lib Dems 13%, SNP 3%. Full methodology, sample size, and field dates explained.
YouGov UK Poll May 2026: Reform 28%, Con 19%, Labour 18%
Full YouGov UK voting intention tracker for May 2026: methodology, sample size, fieldwork dates, and what changed since April. Reform UK leads for the first time.