Labour Party
Voting Intention Trend
▼ Falling since July 2024| Date | Labour VI | vs. GE Result | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2024 | 33% | GE baseline | Labour wins landslide majority with 412 seats |
| Oct 2024 | 30% | −3pts | Budget reaction and economic messaging concerns |
| Jan 2025 | 28% | −5pts | Winter cost-of-living pressures mount |
| Mar 2025 | 27% | −6pts | Welfare reform controversy, NHS waiting lists |
| May 2026 | 18% | −15pts | Historic collapse -- Reform UK leads at 28%, Labour now in third place |
About the Labour Party
The Labour Party has governed the United Kingdom since winning the July 2024 General Election with a landslide 412-seat majority. Under Keir Starmer, Labour secured 33% of the vote — enough for a commanding Commons majority, though one of the lowest vote shares for any majority government in British history.
Since taking office, the government has faced severe headwinds. Polling has collapsed from 33% to 18% by May 2026, a fall of 15 percentage points -- one of the most dramatic mid-term polling collapses in modern British history. Labour now sits in third place behind Reform UK (28%) and the Conservatives (19%), facing existential competition from Reform UK on immigration and economic management, and from the Greens among younger and more progressive voters.
Keir Starmer's personal approval rating stands at −35 net in May 2026, reflecting widespread public dissatisfaction with the pace of change and the government's handling of the cost-of-living crisis.
Key Issues Labour Leads On
NHS Reform
Labour continues to poll ahead of other parties as the most trusted on the NHS, despite ongoing waiting list pressures.
Education
School funding and teacher pay reforms remain a relative strength for Labour in polling on party issue ownership.
Workers Rights
The Employment Rights Bill has strengthened Labour's position among trade union voters and working-class communities.
Who Votes Labour?
Labour's coalition in 2024 was broad but shallow. The party performed strongly among younger voters (18–34), graduates, ethnic minority communities, and urban constituencies. However, the party has lost significant ground among working-class non-graduate voters, particularly in Leave-voting areas of the Midlands and North of England, where Reform UK has surged.
Explore More
All Parties
Compare Labour with Conservatives, Reform UK, Lib Dems, SNP and the Greens.
Leader Approval
Keir Starmer net approval vs. other party leaders. Updated regularly.
General Election 2029
At 18% VI, Labour risks losing official opposition status to the Conservatives. Seat projection models for 2029.