UK Political Parties: Polling Tracker 2026

Q: Which party is leading UK polls in 2026?

Reform UK leads UK polling in May 2026 at 28%. The Conservatives are second at 19%, Labour third at 18%, Greens at 15%, and Lib Dems at 13%. This is a dramatic shift from the 2024 General Election when Labour won 33.7%, Conservatives 23.7%, and Reform UK only 14.3%. The speed of Labour's collapse and the rise of the Greens to 15% are the defining polling trends of 2024-2026.

Q: How many seats does each party hold in Parliament?

Following the July 2024 General Election and subsequent changes, the current House of Commons composition is approximately: Labour 410-412 seats, Conservatives 121 seats, Liberal Democrats 72 seats, SNP 9 seats, Reform UK 5 seats, Greens 4 seats, Plaid Cymru 4 seats, and around 35 independent and other party MPs. Labour holds a majority of approximately 150 seats.

Voting Intention — 29 June 2026

Poll of polls

GB-wide poll of polls. Baseline = 4 July 2024 General Election result.

Current Voting Intention

Reform UK

26%

▲ +14 since GE

Labour

20.8%

▼ −15 since GE

Conservatives

19.4%

▼ −5 since GE

Greens

13%

▲ +8 since GE

Lib Dems

12.2%

▬ Stable

SNP

2.4%

▼ −1 since GE

All Parties

LAB

Labour

Leader: Keir Starmer

20.8%

The governing party since July 2024. Polling has fallen sharply from their 33% General Election result as the government faces economic headwinds and cost-of-living pressures.

View Labour polling ›

REF

Reform UK

Leader: Nigel Farage

26%

▲ Biggest rise of any party

Up from 14% at the 2024 General Election to 26% — now leading in the polls. The fastest-growing party in British politics.

View Reform UK polling ›

CON

Conservatives

Leader: Kemi Badenoch

19.4%

After their historic 2024 defeat, the Conservatives are rebuilding under Kemi Badenoch. Polling has stabilised but Reform UK presses hard on their right flank.

View Conservative polling ›

LD

Liberal Democrats

Leader: Ed Davey

12.2%

The Lib Dems secured 72 seats in 2024 — their best result in decades. National polling holds steady, with strength concentrated in rural southern England.

View Lib Dem polling ›

GRN

Green Party

Co-leaders: Denyer & Ramsay

13%

The Greens doubled their vote share in 2024 and continue to poll at record highs, drawing support from disillusioned left-leaning Labour voters.

The SNP fell from 48 to 9 Westminster seats in 2024. John Swinney leads both the party and the Scottish Government as First Minister of Scotland.

View SNP polling ›

2024 General Election vs. 29 June 2026 Polls

Party	Leader	2024 GE	29 June 2026	Change	Direction
Reform UK	Nigel Farage	14%	26%	+14pts	▲ Rising fast
Labour	Keir Starmer	33%	20.8%	−15pts	▼ Falling
Conservatives	Kemi Badenoch	24%	19.4%	−5pts	▼ Declining
Greens	Denyer / Ramsay	7%	13%	+8pts	▲ Rising
Lib Dems	Ed Davey	12%	12.2%	+1pt	▬ Stable
SNP	John Swinney	4%	2.4%	−1pt	▼ Slightly down

GB-wide figures. SNP stands only in Scotland. GE = 4 July 2024 General Election result.

Leader Approval Ratings

Full tracker →

Leader	Party	Approve	Disapprove	Net
Keir Starmer	Labour	23%	65%	−42
Kemi Badenoch	Conservatives	26%	47%	−21
Nigel Farage	Reform UK	38%	52%	−14
Ed Davey	Lib Dems	32%	37%	−5
John Swinney	SNP	29%	43%	−14

Net approval = % approve minus % disapprove. YouGov / Ipsos averages, May 2026.

Party Support by Demographic

By Age

Under-30s lean Green and Labour. Over-65s favour Reform and Conservatives. The age-party divide in full detail.

View age breakdown ›

By Gender

Men and women are splitting in unprecedented ways. Reform UK polls 10+ points higher among men; Greens run stronger among women.

View gender breakdown ›

By Region

Labour hold London and northern cities. Reform surges across the East of England and Midlands. Lib Dems dominate rural southern seats.

View regional breakdown ›

By Education

Degree-holders tilt Labour and Lib Dem. Non-graduates back Reform UK and Conservatives. Education is the defining cleavage of 2026.

View education breakdown ›

By 2016 EU Vote

Leave voters have moved dramatically to Reform; Remain voters split between Labour, Lib Dems and Greens. Brexit still shapes British politics.

View EU vote breakdown ›

Party Favourability

Which parties do voters view positively? Full net-favourability scores for all six major parties in the latest polling.

View favourability ›

Party Manifestos & Policies

Labour Manifesto 2024

Labour won on “change and stability.” Two years in — pledge by pledge tracking against delivery and polling reaction.

View Labour tracker ›

Conservative Manifesto 2024

“Our Plan for Change” was rejected by voters. Full breakdown of what Sunak promised and why the party lost.

View Conservative manifesto ›

Lib Dem Manifesto 2024

“For a Fair Deal” — the Blue Wall strategy, 72 seats won, and Ed Davey’s plans for 2029.

View Lib Dem manifesto ›

Reform UK Policies

The “Contract with the People” — immigration, net zero, taxation. Polling reception for each major pledge.

View Reform UK policies ›

Green Party Manifesto 2024

“Real Hope. Real Change.” — 10 pledges, the 4 seats won, co-leaders Denyer & Ramsay, and the 2029 outlook.

View Greens manifesto ›

SNP Manifesto 2024

“Independence for Scotland” — all pledges, the collapse from 48 to 9 seats, and Swinney’s 2029 recovery plan.

View SNP manifesto ›

Frequently Asked Questions

Which party is leading UK polls in 2026?

Reform UK leads UK polling in May 2026 at 28%, ahead of the Conservatives at 19%, Labour at 18%, Greens at 15%, and Lib Dems at 13%. This is the first time a party other than Labour or the Conservatives has led sustained GB-wide polling since the SDP peaked briefly in 1982. The speed of Labour’s collapse from 33.7% in 2024 and the rise of the Greens to 15% are the defining polling trends of 2024–2026.

Why have the Greens surged to 15% in UK polls?

The Green Party surge to 15% reflects disillusionment among young Labour voters with the pace of climate action, Labour’s cuts to green investment, and the appeal of co-leaders Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay to progressive voters. The Greens have positioned themselves as the credible progressive alternative to a Labour government that many under-40 voters see as indistinguishable from centrist conservatism. Despite 15% polling, First Past the Post limits them to a projected 8–15 seats in 2029 due to geographically dispersed support.

How many seats does each party hold in Parliament?

Following the July 2024 General Election, the current House of Commons composition is approximately: Labour 410–412 seats, Conservatives 121 seats, Liberal Democrats 72 seats, SNP 9 seats, Reform UK 5 seats, Greens 4 seats, Plaid Cymru 4 seats, and around 35 independent and other party MPs. Labour holds a majority of approximately 150 seats.

What is the combined Labour and Conservative vote share in 2026?

In May 2026, Labour and the Conservatives together poll at approximately 37% of the national vote — a historic low compared to 77% at the 2019 General Election. Despite this fragmentation, First Past the Post can still deliver a Labour majority if the right-of-centre vote stays split between Reform UK and the Conservatives. The two-party collapse matters most because it threatens to produce hung parliaments or minority governments at 2029 even if no single challenger reaches 35%.

How do leader approval ratings compare across UK parties in 2026?

Ed Davey has the highest net approval of any major party leader at approximately −5 in May 2026 despite the Lib Dems polling only 13%. Nigel Farage is at −14 nationally but is polarising (+78 among his own voters). Kemi Badenoch is at −21. Keir Starmer is at −42, the worst figure for any governing Prime Minister at this stage in modern polling. No major party leader has a positive net approval nationally in May 2026.

What are the seat projections for the 2029 general election?

Under most MRP models based on May 2026 polling, Labour is projected to win 200–300 seats (a majority requires 326), Reform UK 80–140 seats, Conservatives 150–200 seats, Lib Dems 60–80 seats, and Greens 8–15 seats. The wide ranges reflect uncertainty about vote efficiency under First Past the Post. A hung parliament appears more likely than a Labour majority under current trends, though Labour retains structural advantages from the seat distribution it won in 2024.

UK Political Parties

Voting Intention — 29 June 2026

Current Voting Intention

All Parties

Labour

Reform UK

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

SNP

2024 General Election vs. 29 June 2026 Polls

Leader Approval Ratings

Party Support by Demographic

By Age

By Gender

By Region

By Education

By 2016 EU Vote

Party Favourability

Party Manifestos & Policies

Labour Manifesto 2024

Conservative Manifesto 2024

Lib Dem Manifesto 2024

Reform UK Policies

Green Party Manifesto 2024

SNP Manifesto 2024

Frequently Asked Questions

Which party is leading UK polls in 2026?

Why have the Greens surged to 15% in UK polls?

How many seats does each party hold in Parliament?

What is the combined Labour and Conservative vote share in 2026?

How do leader approval ratings compare across UK parties in 2026?

What are the seat projections for the 2029 general election?

Explore More

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Leader Approval Ratings

General Election 2029

Issues & Trust

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Video: Further Analysis