Topic: Immigration

Immigration Polling 2026

61% want overall migration reduced. Reform UK leads trust at 34% after the Conservative record imploded. Labour at just 8%. Net migration peaked at 745,000 in 2022 — voters have not forgotten. The issue reshaping British politics.

61%
want migration reduced
Reform
leads on trust (34%)
8%
trust Labour on immigration
72%
want fewer asylum seekers

Public Attitudes to Migration — 2026

Immigration consistently ranks as the second or third most important issue for UK voters in 2026 polling, behind the NHS and cost of living. 61% of adults say they want overall migration reduced, with the figure rising to 72% specifically for asylum seekers. However, the picture is more nuanced than a simple anti-immigration reading: strong majorities also want to maintain high-skilled migration, protect NHS recruitment, and safeguard family reunion rights.

The political landscape on immigration has shifted dramatically since 2022. The Conservative government’s repeated promises to reduce net migration — followed by net migration hitting a record 745,000 in 2022 — and the expensive, abandoned Rwanda scheme generated deep voter cynicism. Trust in the Conservatives on immigration collapsed from 34% in 2019 to 22% in 2026. Reform UK has captured almost all of that lost trust, rising from near zero in 2021 to 34% today.

Key immigration poll findings — 2026

  • 61% say overall migration should be reduced
  • 72% want fewer asylum seekers admitted
  • 58% support prioritising skilled workers in the immigration system
  • Only 8% trust Labour most on immigration (record low for a governing party)
  • Reform UK leads immigration trust at 34%, up from 3% in 2021
  • 54% say immigration has been bad for Britain overall — vs 28% good
  • 31% trust no party on immigration (reflecting widespread cynicism)

Net Migration Trend — 2012–2026

The gap between Conservative promises and net migration reality is central to why Reform UK now leads on immigration trust. Net migration consistently exceeded every official target set between 2010 and 2024.

Year Net migration Context
2012 ~160,000 Cameron pledged “tens of thousands” target
2015 ~330,000 Record at the time; Con manifesto promised reduction
2018 ~270,000 Post-Brexit referendum; some EU migration falling
2020 ~185,000 Covid-related low; borders partly restricted
2022 ~745,000 Record high: post-Covid bounce + Ukraine + HK/India routes
2023 ~685,000 Still historically elevated despite Sunak pledges
2024 ~530,000 Labour takes office Jul 2024; student visa squeeze begins
2026 est. ~430,000 Labour measures reducing numbers; still well above 2019 levels

ONS net migration estimates. 2026 estimated. The 2022 record level is the key data point that destroyed Conservative immigration credibility and supercharged Reform UK trust.

Policy by Policy: Nuanced Voter Attitudes

Immigration attitudes are more differentiated than headline numbers suggest. Voters distinguish sharply between different types of migration and different policy responses. The demand is for selectivity and control, not a blanket ban.

Policy / migration type Support Oppose Key note
Reduce asylum seeker numbers 72% 14% Highest support of any immigration measure
Increase deportation enforcement 64% 20% Cross-partisan: Labour voters 54%, Reform 89%
Reduce net migration overall 61% 22% Headline figure; hides type-by-type variation
Protect family reunion rights 62% 24% Strong support cuts across political lines
Prioritise skilled worker visas 58% 18% Broad support; NHS doctors most cited example
Recruit NHS doctors & nurses abroad 78% 11% Most popular immigration measure of all
Seasonal agricultural workers (farming) 58% 22% Accepted as economic necessity
International students 61% 27% Universities/towns: positive; elsewhere: mixed
Leave the ECHR (to speed deportations) 38% 42% Opposed overall; backed 76% by Reform voters
Reduce student visa numbers 31% 51% Minority position; universities strongly opposed

Source: YouGov composite, May 2026.

Immigration Salience: Who Really Cares?

Immigration is the defining issue for Reform UK voters and a significant driver for Conservatives, but it has much lower salience for Labour, Lib Dem, and Green voters. This asymmetry is politically crucial: parties that move on immigration primarily retain or gain voters who already vote Reform or Conservative.

Party voter group % naming immigration as top issue Strategic implication
Reform UK voters 73% Primary driver of Reform support; policy must match rhetoric
Conservative voters 52% Key competition with Reform for these voters
Labour voters 18% Much lower; NHS and cost of living dominate
Lib Dem voters 9% Very low; immigration hardening alienates this base
Green voters 4% Near-zero; pro-migration stance locks in Green voters
All adults 31% Overall national figure

YouGov, May 2026. % naming immigration as their single most important issue facing the country.

Most Trusted Party on Immigration

Reform UK 34%
Conservatives 22%
Labour 8%
Lib Dems 3%
Greens 2%
None / DK 31%

Most trusted party on immigration. YouGov, May 2026.

31% trust no party — reflecting years of missed net migration targets under both parties.

Immigration views by age & education

Group Want reduced
Over-65s78%
45–6468%
35–4454%
18–3438%
Non-graduates74%
Graduates44%

YouGov, May 2026. The education gap on immigration is one of the sharpest demographic cleavages in British polling.

Explore More

What do UK voters think about immigration in 2026?

61% of UK adults want overall migration reduced, with the figure rising to 72% specifically for asylum seekers. However, majorities also want to protect skilled worker migration (58%), NHS recruitment from abroad (78% support), and family reunion rights (62%). Voter attitudes are more differentiated than headline numbers suggest — the demand is for selectivity and control, not a blanket ban on all migration. Reform UK polling →

Why does Reform UK lead on immigration trust?

Reform UK has displaced the Conservatives as the most trusted party on immigration (34% vs 22%) because voters concluded the Conservatives repeatedly promised to cut immigration but failed. Net migration hit a record 745,000 in 2022 under Conservative government despite repeated ministerial pledges. Reform UK presents no comparable record of broken promises, and Nigel Farage has made immigration his signature issue for 30 years. Nigel Farage polling →

Why does Labour poll so low on immigration trust?

Only 8% of voters trust Labour most on immigration — a record low for a governing party. This reflects both Labour’s historically softer positioning on migration control and the reality that the party’s electoral base (younger, graduate, urban) prioritises other issues. Labour messaging on immigration aims at the 18% of its own voters who care about it, but this creates a credibility gap with the 61% who want migration reduced.

Does immigration polling vary by age or education?

Strongly. 78% of over-65s want migration reduced versus 38% of 18–24 year olds. Non-graduates (74%) are far more likely to want migration reduced than graduates (44%). This education and age gap on immigration is one of the clearest demographic cleavages in British polling and explains why immigration drives Reform UK voting in non-graduate communities. Brexit legacy polling →

What does polling show about different types of migration?

Voters want selectivity, not blanket restrictions. Recruiting NHS doctors and nurses from abroad polls at 78% support — the most popular immigration measure tested. International students poll at 61% support. Seasonal agricultural workers at 58%. By contrast, reducing asylum seekers polls at 72% support and leaving the ECHR polls at only 38%. The evidence is that voters want immigration that benefits services and the economy, and restrictions on asylum routes. Conservative immigration record →

How has Labour’s immigration policy been received by voters?

Labour has tightened student visa rules and reduced some family visa categories since taking office. These measures have reduced the net migration estimate from 685,000 (2023) to approximately 430,000 (2026 estimate) but the number remains far above the pre-pandemic level. 54% of voters say Labour is not doing enough on immigration, and 8% trust the party on the issue — suggesting the policy movement has not yet translated into trust gains. Labour polling →

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