ITInternational / Italy
Italy – Polls & Elections
Last updated: 9 Oct 2026
Leading
FdI
27.2%
Lead
6.9 pts
over PD
Pollsters
8
Latest poll: 6 Oct 2026
Next election
due by 2027
General election
FdI since last week
+0.2 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
PD since last week
−0.3 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
M5S since last week
+0.1 pts
vs 3 Oct 2026
Current picture
Chamber of Deputies voting intention · If an election were held today
2022 general election
As of: 6 Oct 2026 · Method: Average of the latest poll from 6 pollsters · Source: Eumetra, Ipsos, Only Numbers, Quorum – YouTrend, SWG, Termometro Politico, PolitPro
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
Political system
Government
Centre-right (Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, Noi Moderati), Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni
Chamber of Deputies
400 seats · Majority from 201 seats
Electoral system
Mixed system: just over a third single-member seats, rest proportional, 3% threshold
Polling trend
Rolling average across recent polls
FdIPDM5SFuturo Naz.FIAVSLega
Latest polls
Individual pollster surveys, newest first
| Pollster | Date | FdI | PD | M5S | Futuro Naz. | FI | AVS | Lega | Azione | Italia Viva | +Europa | Noi Moderati |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorum – YouTrend | 6 Oct 2026 | 27.0 | 20.4 | 13.5 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| SWG | 5 Oct 2026 | 27.7 | 20.7 | 12.6 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Only Numbers | 1 Oct 2026 | 27.3 | 19.7 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Termometro Politico | 1 Oct 2026 | 27.5 | 21.1 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | – |
| Eumetra | 30 Sep 2026 | 27.1 | 20.5 | 12.8 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Ipsos | 24 Sep 2026 | 26.4 | 19.5 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| EMG | 22 Sep 2026 | 25.1 | 21.2 | 12.1 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Sigma Piave | 18 Sep 2026 | 25.8 | 20.9 | 12.7 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Blocs at a glance
Sum of poll figures
Simplified grouping by current governing coalition and opposition parties; Azione (A) and Futuro Nazionale (FN) are not assigned. Plain addition of poll figures, not a forecast or a statement about alliances.
Elections
General election
National
due by 2027
Parties
History
vs 2022 general election
| Party | 2022 general election | Poll average | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FdI | 26.0% | 27.2% | +1.2 pts | |
| PD | 19.1% | 20.3% | +1.2 pts | |
| M5S | 15.4% | 13.0% | −2.4 pts | |
| Futuro Naz. | – | 7.8% | – | |
| FI | 8.1% | 7.3% | −0.8 pts | |
| AVS | 3.6% | 6.3% | +2.7 pts | |
| Lega | 8.8% | 5.3% | −3.5 pts | |
| Azione | – | 3.1% | – | |
| Italia Viva | – | 2.3% | – | |
| +Europa | 2.8% | 1.7% | −1.1 pts | |
| Noi Moderati | 0.9% | 1.0% | +0.1 pts |
2022 general election: 25 Sep 2022
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