Germany – Polls & Elections

Latest polls, parties and elections in Germany. Federal voting intention (Bundestag): AfD leads on 27.8% ahead of CDU/CSU (19.6%).

Last updated: 4 Oct 2026

Leading

AfD

27.8%

Lead

8.2 pts

over CDU/CSU

Pollsters

Latest poll: 3 Oct 2026

Next election

due 2029

Federal election

Current picture

Federal voting intention (Bundestag) · If an election were held today

All polls →

AfD27.8%−0.7 pts CDU/CSU19.6%+0.5 pts Greens15.0%±0.0 pts SPD13.6%±0.0 pts Die Linke11.4%+0.2 pts FDP3.8%−0.3 pts BSW3.3%−0.2 pts

2025 federal election

As of: 3 Oct 2026 · Method: Weighted average of recent pollster surveys · Source: DAWUM, wahlrecht.de
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Political system

Government

CDU/CSU and SPD, Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU)

Bundestag

630 seats · Majority from 316 seats

Electoral system

Mixed-member proportional representation, 5% threshold (or 3 constituency seats)

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

AfDCDU/CSUGreensSPDDie LinkeFDPBSW

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

All polls →

Pollster	Date	Details	AfD	CDU/CSU	Greens	SPD	Die Linke	FDP	BSW
INSA	3 Oct 2026	n=1,202 · Telefon & Online · 28.9.–2.10.	30.0	18.0	14.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	4.0
Infratest dimap	1 Oct 2026	n=1,303 · Telefon & Online · 28.9.–30.9.	27.0	20.0	16.0	13.0	11.0	4.0	–
Forsa	29 Sep 2026	n=2,501 · Telefonisch · 22.9.–28.9.	26.0	19.0	16.0	14.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
INSA	29 Sep 2026	n=2,001 · Online · 25.9.–28.9.	29.5	19.0	14.5	14.5	10.0	4.0	3.5
INSA	26 Sep 2026	n=1,203 · Telefon & Online · 21.9.–25.9.	29.0	19.0	15.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	3.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25 Sep 2026	n=1,346 · Telefon & Online · 22.9.–24.9.	28.0	21.0	14.0	13.0	12.0	3.0	–
Verian (Emnid)	25 Sep 2026	n=1,464 · Telefonisch · 16.9.–22.9.	28.0	20.0	15.0	14.0	12.0	4.0	3.0
Allensbach	24 Sep 2026	n=1,051 · Persönlich · 4.9.–16.9.	28.0	23.0	14.0	13.0	10.0	5.0	–

Elections

Federal election

National

due 2029

State election Saarland

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

195 days to election

State election Schleswig-Holstein

State · scheduled

18 Apr 2027

195 days to election

State election North Rhine-Westphalia

State · scheduled

25 Apr 2027

202 days to election

States

Latest poll per region

Baden-WürttembergLatest poll: 10 Apr 2026Greens›BavariaNext election: 1 Oct 2028CSU›BerlinLatest poll: 18 Sep 2026Die Linke›BrandenburgLatest poll: 24 Jun 2026AfD›BremenNext election: 30 May 2027CDU›HamburgLatest poll: 30 Sep 2026SPD›HesseNext election: 1 Oct 2028CDU›Mecklenburg-VorpommernLatest poll: 17 Sep 2026SPD›Lower SaxonyNext election: 1 Oct 2027SPD›North Rhine-WestphaliaNext election: 25 Apr 2027CDU›Rhineland-PalatinateLatest poll: 20 Aug 2026CDU›SaarlandNext election: 18 Apr 2027SPD›Saxony-AnhaltLatest poll: 3 Sep 2026AfD›SaxonyLatest poll: 21 May 2026AfD›Schleswig-HolsteinNext election: 18 Apr 2027CDU›ThuringiaLatest poll: 2 Jul 2026AfD›

Parties

All parties →

AfDAlternative für Deutschland27.8%›CDU/CSUChristlich Demokratische Union / Christlich-Soziale Union19.6%›GreensBündnis 90/Die Grünen15.0%›SPDSozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands13.6%›Die LinkeDie Linke11.4%›FDPFreie Demokratische Partei3.8%›BSWBündnis Sahra Wagenknecht3.3%›

History

vs 2025 federal election

Party	2025 federal election	Poll average	Change
AfD	20.8%	27.8%	+7.0 pts
CDU/CSU	28.5%	19.6%	−8.9 pts
Greens	11.6%	15.0%	+3.4 pts
SPD	16.4%	13.6%	−2.8 pts
Die Linke	8.8%	11.4%	+2.6 pts
FDP	4.3%	3.8%	−0.5 pts
BSW	5.0%	3.3%	−1.7 pts