UKConstituencies / Wales

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe: MP, 2024 result & majority

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe is a Westminster constituency, Wales. Current MP: David Chadwick (Liberal Democrat).

Last updated: 5 Oct 2026
Current MP
David Chadwick
Liberal Democrat · MP since 4 Jul 2024
2024 result
LD Gain
Liberal Democrat
Majority
1,472
3.2% of votes cast
Turnout
63.7%
46,548 of 73,114 electors

How close is it?

Most marginal seats →

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe was won in 2024 by Liberal Democrat (LD Gain) with a majority of 1,472 votes, 3.2% of votes cast. That ranks it 72 of 650 seats from the closest: one of the most marginal seats in the country.

Majority as a share of votes cast; ranking by 2024 majority only. This is not a forecast for the next election.

National context

UK-wide voting intention, not a local poll

All polls →
Labour28.6%
Reform UK23.6%
Conservatives18.8%
Greens9.8%
Lib Dems9.6%
As of: 5 Oct 2026 · Method: Average of the last 5 polls · Source: Find Out Now, Lord Ashcroft Polls, More in Common, Opinium, Survation, YouGov · Constituency-level polling or MRP is only shown when published by a named pollster.
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

More in Wales

Closest 2024 results first

All constituencies →
Sources: UK Parliament Members API (MPs, 2024 results), postcodes.io (nation and region).
LIVE
Voting Intention Reform UK23.6% Labour28.2% Con19.4% Greens9.6% Lib Dems9.6% Starmer Approval Approve22% Disapprove50% VI Tracker Leader Approval GE2029 Forecast Reform UK Rise Latest Analysis

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