UKConstituencies / England
Hamble Valley: MP, 2024 result & majority
Last updated: 3 Oct 2026
Current MP
Paul Holmes
Conservative · MP since 12 Dec 2019
2024 result
Con Hold
Conservative
Majority
4,802
8.9% of votes cast
Turnout
67.9%
54,004 of 79,478 electors
How close is it?
Hamble Valley was won in 2024 by Conservative (Con Hold) with a majority of 4,802 votes, 8.9% of votes cast. That ranks it 193 of 650 seats from the closest: a marginal seat.
Majority as a share of votes cast; ranking by 2024 majority only. This is not a forecast for the next election.
National context
UK-wide voting intention, not a local poll
As of: 2 Oct 2026 · Method: Average of the last 5 polls · Source: BMG Research, Find Out Now, More in Common, Opinium, Survation, YouGov · Constituency-level polling or MRP is only shown when published by a named pollster.
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.
More in South East
Closest 2024 results first
Sources: UK Parliament Members API (MPs, 2024 results), postcodes.io (nation and region).
