Polling · Analysis · Reform

Electoral Reform in the UK

60% of the public back proportional representation. The 2024 election exposed FPTP’s deepest distortions yet. This is where the debate stands.

60%
Support PR
14.3%
Reform Vote Share
5
Reform Seats 2024
61%
Want Elected Lords

2024: Actual Seats vs Proportional Seats

Under strict proportional representation, the 2024 result would have looked radically different. 650 total seats distributed by vote share.

Sources: Electoral Commission 2024 results. Proportional seats calculated from national vote share × 650.

The Case for Reform

The 2024 general election delivered the most disproportionate result in British electoral history. Labour won 412 seats — a 174-seat majority — on just 33.7% of the vote. Reform UK, with 14.3% of the national vote (around 4 million votes), won 5 seats. The Liberal Democrats won more seats on fewer votes.

The arithmetic is stark: each Reform UK seat required 845,000 votes. Each Labour seat required around 23,600 votes. The system’s defenders argue it produces strong governments; critics argue it makes millions of votes effectively meaningless.

Polling by YouGov, Survation and the Electoral Reform Society consistently shows approximately 60% of British adults support moving to a proportional system — a number that has grown since the 2024 result.

Party Positions on Electoral Reform

Labour: Under review. Gordon Brown’s commission recommended PR. Keir Starmer has not committed. Some backbenchers openly back change.
Conservatives: Oppose any reform. FPTP has delivered Tory majorities. Kemi Badenoch has ruled out supporting PR.
Reform UK: Officially oppose reform. They benefit from FPTP criticism but fear PR could entrench a Lab-LD coalition permanently.
Lib Dems: Strongly back STV proportional representation. Electoral reform is a core party commitment since the party’s founding.
Greens: Support PR. Won 4 seats on 6.7% of the vote in 2024 — proportionally they would have had 43+ seats.
SNP: Back PR for Westminster elections. Already experience AMS at Holyrood. See FPTP as a structural disadvantage.

FPTP vs Proportional Representation: Key Differences

Feature First Past the Post Proportional Representation
Seats reflect votes? No — majority of votes can be “wasted” Yes — seats closely match vote shares
Government stability Usually strong single-party majorities Often coalition governments
Small parties Severely disadvantaged Represented fairly
Tactical voting Common — voters often vote to stop a party Less necessary
Local MP link Every constituency has one MP Varies by system (STV keeps local link)
Used in UK? Westminster general elections Scotland, Wales, London, NI devolved elections

Who Backs Proportional Representation? Polling by Demographic

Support for PR varies significantly by age, current voting intention, and region. YouGov and Survation polls from 2024–2026 show a clear generational divide.

Group Support PR Oppose PR Don't know Key finding
18–2473%11%16%Strongest cohort for reform — experienced only one election under FPTP
25–4966%18%16%Two-thirds majority; frustrated tactical voters driving this
50–6455%27%18%Majority back PR but with a significant minority defending FPTP
65+44%36%20%Only group where support falls below 50%; longest FPTP attachment
Lib Dem voters91%4%5%Near-unanimous; party policy since 1988
Green voters88%5%7%Won 6.7% of votes but 0.6% of seats in 2024 — acutely felt
Reform UK voters62%21%17%High support despite official party opposition; voters feel cheated by FPTP
Labour voters57%22%21%Majority back PR; leadership reluctance creates a disconnect
Conservative voters32%48%20%Only voter group where a plurality oppose PR; aligned with party position

Sources: YouGov, Survation, Electoral Reform Society polls 2024–2026. Figures are approximate averages across multiple surveys.

If May 2026 Polls Became a General Election: FPTP vs PR

Current polling (Reform 28%, Conservatives 19%, Labour 18%, Greens 15%, Lib Dems 13%) would produce radically different parliaments depending on the voting system used.

Party Poll Share (May 2026) FPTP Est. Seats Pure PR Seats FPTP vs PR
Reform UK28%~230–280182+48 to +98 (FPTP)
Conservatives19%~80–120124Broadly fair
Labour18%~160–200117+43 to +83 (FPTP)
Greens15%~8–1598−83 to −90 (FPTP)
Lib Dems13%~45–7085−15 to −40 (FPTP)
Others (SNP, PC, etc.)7%~30–4544Mixed; SNP benefits from FPTP in Scotland

Key takeaway: Under current polling, FPTP would still give Labour a disproportionate seat bonus due to geographic concentration of support — despite falling to 18%. Reform UK, polling first at 28%, would face a seat ceiling due to its votes being spread evenly across England rather than concentrated in clusters. The Greens, polling 15%, would win almost no seats. Under PR, no single party comes close to a majority; government would require a two or three-party coalition.

FPTP estimates based on Electoral Calculus modelling methodology. PR seats = vote share × 650. Figures are illustrative projections, not exact predictions.

Public Support for PR: Trend Since 2011 AV Referendum

The 2011 AV referendum saw 67.9% vote No. But support for changing the voting system has climbed substantially since — driven by the perceived unfairness of the 2019 and 2024 results.

Date Support PR Oppose PR Context
May 201132%68%AV referendum lost. Note: AV is not PR.
201547%30%Conservatives won 36.9% of votes, 51% of seats
201952%28%Brexit Party won 2% → 0 seats; anger around seat distortion
Post-July 202461%21%Labour 33.7% → 63% of seats; Reform 14.3% → 0.8%
May 2026~60%22%Reform leads national polls; FPTP blocking mechanism increasingly debated

House of Lords Reform: Where Does Public Opinion Stand?

61%
Want elected Lords
72%
Say Lords reform needed
800+
Current Lords (unelected)

Labour’s House of Lords (Hereditary Peers) Act 2024 removed the remaining 92 hereditary peers — fulfilling a Labour manifesto pledge from 1997. But this left intact the fundamental structure: an unelected second chamber of over 800 appointed and reformed peers.

Polling by YouGov consistently finds that around 61% of the public believe the House of Lords should be fully or largely elected. A further 11% favour abolition. Only 14% favour keeping an entirely appointed Lords.

Labour has committed to a further review of Lords reform. However, replacing a fully appointed chamber is constitutionally complex — and ministers have repeatedly indicated it is not a priority in the current parliament. Critics argue that removing hereditary peers while retaining party-political appointment by the Prime Minister has done little to address the democratic deficit.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the 2024 election compare to a proportional result?

Under strict PR (vote share × 650 seats), Labour would have received approximately 219 seats rather than 412. Reform UK would have had around 93 seats rather than 5. The Greens would have had over 43 seats rather than 4. The Liberal Democrats would have had roughly 78 seats — close to their actual 72, reflecting how their concentrated support partly works under FPTP.

Has the UK ever voted on changing its electoral system?

Yes — once. In May 2011, a referendum was held on switching to the Alternative Vote (AV) system. The No campaign won 67.9% to 32.1%. Critics note that AV is not proportional, and the result does not directly map onto support for PR.

Why does Scotland use a different voting system?

Scotland’s Holyrood Parliament uses AMS, a form of proportional representation. This was a deliberate design choice when devolution was established in 1999 — specifically to make it harder for any one party to dominate the parliament and to ensure a range of parties could win seats.

What is the Electoral Reform Society?

The Electoral Reform Society (ERS) is the UK’s oldest campaigning organisation for voting system change. Founded in 1884, it advocates for proportional representation and publishes regular research on the disproportionality of FPTP results.

LIVE
Voting Intention Reform UK26% Labour20.8% Con19.4% Greens13% Lib Dems12.2% Starmer Approval Approve18% Disapprove61% VI Tracker Leader Approval GE2029 Forecast Reform UK Rise Latest Analysis