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Bavaria – Polls & Elections

State · Germany

Last updated: 4 Oct 2026
Leading
CSU
38.0%
Lead
18.0 pts
over AfD
Latest poll
12 Sep 2026
Civey
Next election
1 Oct 2028
State election

Current picture

State election · Civey, 12 Sep 2026

CSU38.0%
AfD20.0%
Greens13.0%
FW12.0%
SPD6.0%
Die Linke3.0%
BSW3.0%
FDP2.0%
Others3.0%
Source: Civey · As of 12 Sep 2026 · DAWUM
Polls are snapshots, not forecasts.

Polling trend

Rolling average across recent polls

01020304019 Jan12 Sep37.8 CSU19.5 AfD13.5 Greens12.0 FW6.0 SPD3.0 Die Linke3.0 BSW
CSUAfDGreensFWSPDDie LinkeBSW

Latest polls

Individual pollster surveys, newest first

PollsterDateCSUAfDGreensFWSPDDie LinkeBSWFDP
Civey12 Sep 202638.020.013.012.06.03.03.02.0
Civey14 Aug 202638.020.013.012.06.03.03.02.0
Civey18 Jul 202637.019.014.012.06.03.03.02.0
Civey14 Jun 202638.019.014.012.06.03.03.02.0
Civey16 May 202637.019.014.012.07.03.03.02.0
Civey19 Apr 202638.019.013.011.07.03.03.02.0
Civey14 Mar 202639.017.012.011.08.03.03.02.0
GMS3 Mar 202639.018.013.010.07.03.02.02.0
Civey14 Feb 202640.018.011.012.07.03.01.02.0
Civey19 Jan 202640.018.012.011.07.03.01.02.0

Elections

State election Bavaria
State · scheduled
1 Oct 2028
727 days to election
Federal election
National
due 2029

Parties

CSUin the polls38.0%›AfDAlternative für Deutschland20.0%›GreensBündnis 90/Die Grünen13.0%›
FWin the polls12.0%
SPDSozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands6.0%›Die LinkeDie Linke3.0%›BSWBündnis Sahra Wagenknecht3.0%›FDPFreie Demokratische Partei2.0%›

Other States

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Baden-WürttembergLatest poll: 10 Apr 2026Greens›BerlinLatest poll: 18 Sep 2026Die Linke›BrandenburgLatest poll: 24 Jun 2026AfD›BremenNext election: 30 May 2027CDU›HamburgLatest poll: 30 Sep 2026SPD›HesseNext election: 1 Oct 2028CDU›

Overview

OverviewPollsParties

Parties

AfDCDU/CSUGreensSPDDie LinkeFDP

States

Baden-WürttembergBavariaBerlinBrandenburgBremenHamburgAll States

Pollsters

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